JThom Analytics Logo
Fairfield logo

Fairfield #257

Team Page

19-15
Overall
11-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Metro Atlantic Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Fairfield logo

Away

7-8
Seton Hall logo
#53
Penn State logo
#140
Merrimack College logo
#171
Siena logo
#183
Marist logo
#198
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Iona logo
#248
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
NJIT logo
#328
Manhattan logo
#329
Niagara logo
#335
Canisius logo
#342

Neutral

2-1
Siena logo
#183
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Manhattan logo
#329

Home

10-4
Monmouth logo
#172
Siena logo
#183
Columbia logo
#197
Marist logo
#198
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Manhattan logo
#329
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Niagara logo
#335
Canisius logo
#342
New Hampshire logo
#349
Rider logo
#357
City College of New York logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Fairfield logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Penn State logo
#14014%78%68-76
Nov 8Away
NJIT logo
#32863%97%74-53
Nov 10Away
Seton Hall logo
#533%42%59-82
Nov 14Home
Stonehill logo
#33383%99%
Nov 14Home
Stonehill logo
#33383%99%
Nov 16Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32079%99%85-82
Nov 22Away
Le Moyne logo
#30052%96%97-83
Nov 26Home
Columbia logo
#19746%95%77-106
Nov 30Home
New Hampshire logo
#34988%99%72-68
Dec 5Away
Manhattan logo
#32963%97%66-70
Dec 7Away
Merrimack College logo
#17119%83%63-74
Dec 14Home
Monmouth logo
#17239%93%73-65
Dec 18Away
Central Connecticut State logo
#30653%96%84-70
Dec 22Home
City College of New York logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Home
Saint Peter's logo
#23758%97%66-70
Jan 2Away
Canisius logo
#34270%98%81-85
Jan 4Away
Niagara logo
#33567%98%83-75
Jan 9Home
Rider logo
#35791%100%68-62
Jan 14Home
Manhattan logo
#32982%99%98-62
Jan 17Away
Marist logo
#19824%87%67-82
Jan 19Away
Siena logo
#18321%85%77-85
Jan 22Home
Niagara logo
#33584%99%62-61
Jan 24Home
Canisius logo
#34286%99%61-55
Jan 30Away
Iona logo
#24836%92%71-70
Feb 1Home
Quinnipiac logo
#21450%96%65-72
Feb 5Away
Sacred Heart logo
#28747%95%92-87
Feb 7Home
Marist logo
#19846%95%63-60
Feb 15Away
Saint Peter's logo
#23735%92%74-83
Feb 20Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28770%98%78-68
Feb 22Away
Quinnipiac logo
#21427%89%85-79
Feb 27Home
Siena logo
#18341%94%72-58
Mar 1Home
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26966%98%47-69
Mar 5Neutral
Manhattan logo
#32975%99%71-60
Mar 6Neutral
Saint Peter's logo
#23746%95%74-55
Mar 8Neutral
Siena logo
#18329%91%61-76

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Seton HallPenn StateMerrimack CollegeSienaMaristQuinnipiacSienaSaint Peter'sIonaMonmouthSienaColumbiaMaristSacred HeartDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-5, 3 left
Record:
19-13
#50 Fcst:
29.7-2.3
Act Win %:
59%
#50 Fcst %:
93%
TWV:
-10.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Fairfield logo
05101520City College of New York Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Stonehill Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 83%83%H21Stonehill Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 83%83%H22Rider Location: Home 01/09 Win Probability: 91%91%H1New Hampshire Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 88%88%H2Canisius Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 86%86%H3Niagara Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 84%84%H4Manhattan Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 82%82%H5Loyola Maryland Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 79%79%H6Manhattan Location: Neutral 03/05 Win Probability: 75%75%N7Sacred Heart Location: Home 02/20 Win Probability: 70%70%H8Niagara Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 67%67%A9NJIT Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 63%63%A10Central Connecticut State Location: Away 12/18 Win Probability: 53%53%A11Le Moyne Location: Away 11/22 Win Probability: 52%52%A12Sacred Heart Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 47%47%A13Marist Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 46%46%H14Saint Peter's Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 46%46%N15Siena Location: Home 02/27 Win Probability: 41%41%H16Monmouth Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 39%39%H17Iona Location: Away 01/30 Win Probability: 36%36%A18Quinnipiac Location: Away 02/22 Win Probability: 27%27%A1919WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
19100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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