JThom Analytics Logo
Colgate logo

Colgate #240

Team Page

16-17
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Patriot League logo

Team Schedule

Colgate logo

Away

6-10
Florida logo
#4
Illinois logo
#6
Michigan State logo
#11
Navy logo
#141
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Cornell logo
#157
Siena logo
#183
American logo
#243
Boston logo
#252
Lehigh logo
#282
Lehigh logo
#282
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Lafayette logo
#322
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338

Neutral

2-0
Fordham logo
#168
Albany logo
#319
SUNY-Oneonta logo
Non D1

Home

8-5
Navy logo
#141
Harvard logo
#148
Drexel logo
#212
American logo
#243
Boston logo
#252
Lehigh logo
#282
Northeastern logo
#291
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Lafayette logo
#322
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338
St. John Fisher logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Colgate logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Michigan State logo
#111%15%69-80
Nov 7Home
Northeastern logo
#29174%98%65-68
Nov 11Home
Drexel logo
#21253%95%90-83
Nov 14Away
Illinois logo
#61%11%65-84
Nov 17Away
Siena logo
#18323%85%72-69
Nov 20Away
Cornell logo
#15719%81%94-95
Nov 28Neutral
Albany logo
#31973%98%69-67
Nov 29Neutral
SUNY-Oneonta logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 30Neutral
Fordham logo
#16829%89%72-62
Dec 6Home
St. John Fisher logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 10Away
St. Bonaventure logo
#14217%78%77-85
Dec 21Away
Florida logo
#41%9%60-90
Dec 28Home
Harvard logo
#14837%91%69-78
Dec 31Away
Lafayette logo
#32263%97%85-77
Jan 3Away
Army logo
#33871%98%76-69
Jan 7Home
American logo
#24363%97%64-62
Jan 10Home
Lehigh logo
#28272%98%77-78
Jan 14Away
Loyola Maryland logo
#32061%97%86-80
Jan 17Home
Bucknell logo
#32784%99%95-76
Jan 21Away
American logo
#24339%92%66-70
Jan 24Home
Boston logo
#25264%97%80-79
Jan 28Home
Holy Cross logo
#33184%99%79-74
Jan 31Away
Lehigh logo
#28249%95%76-77
Feb 4Home
Army logo
#33887%99%69-55
Feb 7Away
Bucknell logo
#32766%97%78-59
Feb 11Away
Holy Cross logo
#33167%97%74-70
Feb 14Home
Navy logo
#14134%91%80-84
Feb 16Away
Boston logo
#25240%92%58-85
Feb 21Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32081%99%101-98
Feb 25Home
Lafayette logo
#32282%99%69-70
Feb 28Away
Navy logo
#14116%78%69-85
Mar 5Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32081%99%90-77
Mar 8Away
Lehigh logo
#28249%95%69-76

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaIllinoisMichigan StateNavySt. BonaventureCornellSienaFordhamNavyHarvardAmericanBostonLehighLehighDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games14-3, 2 left
Record:
16-15
#50 Fcst:
26.7-4.3
Act Win %:
52%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-10.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Colgate logo
051015St. John Fisher Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H17SUNY-Oneonta Location: Neutral 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%N18Army Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 87%87%H1Holy Cross Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 84%84%H2Bucknell Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 84%84%H3Loyola Maryland Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 81%81%H4Loyola Maryland Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 81%81%H5Albany Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 73%73%N6Army Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 71%71%A7Holy Cross Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 67%67%A8Bucknell Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 66%66%A9Boston Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 64%64%H10Lafayette Location: Away 12/31 Win Probability: 63%63%A11American Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 63%63%H12Loyola Maryland Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 61%61%A13Drexel Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 53%53%H14Fordham Location: Neutral 11/30 Win Probability: 29%29%N15Siena Location: Away 11/17 Win Probability: 23%23%A1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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