JThom Analytics Logo
Morgan State logo

Morgan State #351

Team Page

11-19
Overall
10-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mid-Eastern logo

Team Schedule

Morgan State logo

Away

5-9
California logo
#74
Georgetown logo
#85
DePaul logo
#99
San Francisco logo
#120
Loyola Marymount logo
#162
Howard logo
#196
Old Dominion logo
#234
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Norfolk State logo
#321
North Carolina Central logo
#348
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#352
South Carolina State logo
#353
Coppin State logo
#360
Delaware State logo
#361

Neutral

0-1
Delaware State logo
#361

Home

6-6
UMBC logo
#180
Howard logo
#196
Drexel logo
#212
Longwood logo
#259
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Norfolk State logo
#321
Niagara logo
#335
North Carolina Central logo
#348
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#352
South Carolina State logo
#353
Coppin State logo
#360
Delaware State logo
#361
Central Pennsylvania College logo
Non D1
Penn State-Brandywine logo
Non D1
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Morgan State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Georgetown logo
#851%57%70-87
Nov 6Home
Central Pennsylvania College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Home
UMBC logo
#18013%94%79-81
Nov 15Away
Mercyhurst logo
#28516%95%72-86
Nov 18Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29937%98%73-79
Nov 21Away
Old Dominion logo
#23410%92%56-88
Nov 25Home
Drexel logo
#21217%95%66-71
Dec 6Home
Longwood logo
#25927%97%80-84
Dec 9Away
DePaul logo
#992%65%49-92
Dec 13Home
Niagara logo
#33553%99%81-73
Dec 19Away
California logo
#741%52%50-97
Dec 21Away
San Francisco logo
#1203%73%64-94
Dec 23Away
Loyola Marymount logo
#1624%81%56-83
Dec 30Home
Penn State-Brandywine logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 3Away
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#35238%98%49-66
Jan 10Home
South Carolina State logo
#35364%99%72-67
Jan 12Home
North Carolina Central logo
#34860%99%78-89
Jan 17Away
Delaware State logo
#36150%99%80-79
Jan 20Home
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 24Away
Howard logo
#1966%87%78-77
Jan 26Away
Norfolk State logo
#32123%97%79-78
Jan 31Away
Coppin State logo
#36049%99%89-80
Feb 7Home
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#35262%99%79-71
Feb 16Away
North Carolina Central logo
#34836%98%76-80
Feb 21Home
Delaware State logo
#36173%100%82-68
Feb 25Away
South Carolina State logo
#35340%99%90-83
Feb 28Home
Howard logo
#19615%95%59-84
Mar 2Home
Norfolk State logo
#32145%99%90-84
Mar 5Home
Coppin State logo
#36072%100%70-66
Mar 11Neutral
Delaware State logo
#36162%99%70-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%CaliforniaGeorgetownDePaulSan FranciscoLoyola MarymountHowardOld DominionUMBCHowardMercyhurstDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games10-7, 3 left
Record:
11-16
#50 Fcst:
24.6-2.4
Act Win %:
41%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-13.6
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 10 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Morgan State logo
0510Central Pennsylvania College Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Penn State-Brandywine Location: Home 12/30 Win Probability: 100%100%H13VU of Lynchburg Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Delaware State Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 73%73%H1Coppin State Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 72%72%H2South Carolina State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 64%64%H3Maryland Eastern Shore Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 62%62%H4Niagara Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 53%53%H5Delaware State Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 50%50%A6Coppin State Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 49%49%A7Norfolk State Location: Home 03/02 Win Probability: 45%45%H8South Carolina State Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 40%40%A9Norfolk State Location: Away 01/26 Win Probability: 23%23%A10Howard Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 6%6%A1111WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
11100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...