JThom Analytics Logo
Richmond logo

Richmond #160

Team Page

14-18
Overall
5-13
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Atlantic 10 logo

Team Schedule

Richmond logo

Away

3-8
Saint Louis logo
#38
VCU logo
#46
Belmont logo
#69
George Washington logo
#81
Davidson logo
#111
Duquesne logo
#125
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Rhode Island logo
#144
Fordham logo
#168
Elon logo
#258
Loyola Chicago logo
#276

Neutral

1-2
Charlotte logo
#176
Furman logo
#179
Loyola Chicago logo
#276

Home

10-7
VCU logo
#46
Dayton logo
#73
George Washington logo
#81
George Mason logo
#102
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
Davidson logo
#111
Southern Illinois logo
#123
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Rhode Island logo
#144
William & Mary logo
#161
La Salle logo
#233
Old Dominion logo
#234
Charleston Southern logo
#244
East Carolina logo
#256
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359
Gardner-Webb logo
#363
Southern Virginia logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Richmond logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 5Home
Southern Virginia logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Home
East Carolina logo
#25683%97%87-72
Nov 11Home
William & Mary logo
#16162%92%90-86
Nov 19Home
VMI logo
#35997%100%87-54
Nov 22Home
Gardner-Webb logo
#36398%100%102-67
Nov 27Neutral
Furman logo
#17956%91%72-73
Nov 28Neutral
Charlotte logo
#17655%90%71-66
Dec 3Away
Belmont logo
#6913%50%84-76
Dec 6Home
Old Dominion logo
#23480%97%86-77
Dec 13Home
Southern Illinois logo
#12351%88%93-84
Dec 17Away
Elon logo
#25865%93%70-73
Dec 20Home
Citadel logo
#34495%99%80-56
Dec 28Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24481%97%72-77
Dec 31Home
George Washington logo
#8131%76%85-99
Jan 4Away
Fordham logo
#16841%83%83-75
Jan 7Away
St. Bonaventure logo
#14234%78%89-80
Jan 11Home
Saint Joseph's logo
#10744%85%65-67
Jan 14Home
La Salle logo
#23380%97%74-53
Jan 17Away
Saint Louis logo
#386%31%63-88
Jan 21Home
Rhode Island logo
#14459%91%68-69
Jan 24Away
George Washington logo
#8114%54%69-85
Jan 27Away
VCU logo
#467%36%69-77
Jan 31Home
Davidson logo
#11146%86%54-79
Feb 7Away
Rhode Island logo
#14435%79%77-82
Feb 10Home
George Mason logo
#10243%84%82-70
Feb 14Home
VCU logo
#4617%60%67-78
Feb 18Away
Davidson logo
#11124%69%63-65
Feb 21Home
St. Bonaventure logo
#14258%91%99-94
Feb 28Away
Loyola Chicago logo
#27671%94%66-69
Mar 3Home
Dayton logo
#7329%74%60-65
Mar 7Away
Duquesne logo
#12529%74%77-79
Mar 11Neutral
Loyola Chicago logo
#27681%97%67-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Saint LouisVCUBelmontGeorge WashingtonVCUDavidsonDuquesneDaytonGeorge WashingtonSt. BonaventureRhode IslandFordhamGeorge MasonSaint Joseph'sDavidsonSouthern IllinoisCharlotteFurmanSt. BonaventureRhode IslandWilliam & MaryElonLoyola ChicagoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-2, 1 left
Record:
14-17
#50 Fcst:
25.3-5.7
Act Win %:
45%
#50 Fcst %:
82%
TWV:
-11.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Richmond logo
051015Southern Virginia Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Gardner-Webb Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 98%98%H1VMI Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 97%97%H2Citadel Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 95%95%H3East Carolina Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 83%83%H4Old Dominion Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 80%80%H5La Salle Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 80%80%H6William & Mary Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 62%62%H7St. Bonaventure Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 58%58%H8Charlotte Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 55%55%N9Southern Illinois Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 51%51%H10George Mason Location: Home 02/10 Win Probability: 43%43%H11Fordham Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 41%41%A12St. Bonaventure Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 34%34%A13Belmont Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 13%13%A1414WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
14100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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