JThom Analytics Logo
Central Connecticut State logo

Central Connecticut State #306

Team Page

16-14
Overall
11-5
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Northeast logo

Team Schedule

Central Connecticut State logo

Away

8-7
Seton Hall logo
#53
Rutgers logo
#118
Boston College logo
#143
Massachusetts logo
#188
Quinnipiac logo
#214
LIU logo
#221
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Northeastern logo
#291
Le Moyne logo
#300
Wagner logo
#312
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Saint Francis U logo
#354
Binghamton logo
#358

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

7-4
LIU logo
#221
Fairfield logo
#257
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Le Moyne logo
#300
Wagner logo
#312
Wagner logo
#312
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Saint Francis U logo
#354
Johnson & Wales (RI) logo
Non D1
Northern Vermont-Johnson logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Central Connecticut State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Northern Vermont-Johnson logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 6Away
Quinnipiac logo
#21417%89%49-71
Nov 11Away
Boston College logo
#1439%79%60-59
Nov 16Away
Massachusetts logo
#18813%86%77-84
Nov 21Away
Rutgers logo
#1186%71%67-54
Nov 24Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28756%98%108-106
Nov 30Home
Johnson & Wales (RI) logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 3Away
Seton Hall logo
#532%42%61-77
Dec 7Away
Northeastern logo
#29134%95%56-73
Dec 13Away
Binghamton logo
#35868%99%84-67
Dec 18Home
Fairfield logo
#25747%97%70-84
Jan 2Away
LIU logo
#22119%90%78-84
Jan 4Home
New Haven logo
#33072%99%72-61
Jan 8Home
Stonehill logo
#33373%99%
Jan 8Home
Stonehill logo
#33373%99%
Jan 10Away
Le Moyne logo
#30037%96%69-59
Jan 17Away
Saint Francis U logo
#35464%99%98-90
Jan 19Away
Mercyhurst logo
#28532%95%61-79
Jan 23Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33675%99%66-76
Jan 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33350%98%
Jan 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33350%98%
Jan 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33350%98%
Jan 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33350%98%
Jan 29Away
Wagner logo
#31240%96%62-55
Jan 31Home
LIU logo
#22138%96%59-80
Feb 5Home
Chicago State logo
#34578%99%78-67
Feb 7Home
Wagner logo
#31264%99%84-67
Feb 12Away
New Haven logo
#33049%97%81-76
Feb 14Away
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33653%98%63-57
Feb 19Home
Le Moyne logo
#30061%98%78-77
Feb 21Away
Chicago State logo
#34558%98%51-70
Feb 26Home
Mercyhurst logo
#28556%98%80-78
Feb 28Home
Saint Francis U logo
#35482%99%69-64
Mar 4Home
Wagner logo
#31264%99%60-70

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Seton HallRutgersBoston CollegeMassachusettsQuinnipiacLIUMercyhurstDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-6, 8 left
Record:
15-11
#50 Fcst:
24.1-1.9
Act Win %:
58%
#50 Fcst %:
93%
TWV:
-9.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 7 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Central Connecticut State logo
05101520Northern Vermont-Johnson Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Johnson & Wales (RI) Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Stonehill Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 73%73%H18Stonehill Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 73%73%H19Stonehill Location: Away 01/26 Win Probability: 50%50%A20Stonehill Location: Away 01/26 Win Probability: 50%50%A21Stonehill Location: Away 01/26 Win Probability: 50%50%A22Stonehill Location: Away 01/26 Win Probability: 50%50%A23Saint Francis U Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 82%82%H1Chicago State Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 78%78%H2New Haven Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 72%72%H3Binghamton Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 68%68%A4Saint Francis U Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 64%64%A5Wagner Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 64%64%H6Le Moyne Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 61%61%H7Sacred Heart Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 56%56%H8Mercyhurst Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 56%56%H9Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 53%53%A10New Haven Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 49%49%A11Wagner Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 40%40%A12Le Moyne Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 37%37%A13Boston College Location: Away 11/11 Win Probability: 9%9%A14Rutgers Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 6%6%A1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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