JThom Analytics Logo
Marist logo

Marist #198

Team Page

18-13
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Metro Atlantic Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Marist logo

Away

7-7
Xavier logo
#97
Georgia Tech logo
#158
Merrimack College logo
#171
Siena logo
#183
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Fairfield logo
#257
Dartmouth logo
#272
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Manhattan logo
#329
Niagara logo
#335
Canisius logo
#342
Bryant logo
#355
Rider logo
#357

Neutral

1-1
Merrimack College logo
#171
Quinnipiac logo
#214

Home

10-4
Harvard logo
#148
Merrimack College logo
#171
Siena logo
#183
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Stony Brook logo
#230
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Iona logo
#248
Fairfield logo
#257
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Lehigh logo
#282
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Manhattan logo
#329
Army logo
#338
Rider logo
#357
Vassar logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Marist logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Xavier logo
#9713%63%62-66
Nov 9Away
Dartmouth logo
#27258%94%75-56
Nov 12Home
Vassar logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 16Home
Harvard logo
#14849%91%54-56
Nov 21Home
Army logo
#33891%99%76-65
Nov 25Home
Lehigh logo
#28281%98%78-55
Dec 5Home
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26979%98%64-56
Dec 7Home
Manhattan logo
#32990%99%80-68
Dec 13Away
Bryant logo
#35586%99%82-74
Dec 16Away
Georgia Tech logo
#15828%81%76-87
Dec 21Home
Stony Brook logo
#23071%96%70-51
Dec 29Away
Quinnipiac logo
#21442%89%58-64
Jan 2Away
Saint Peter's logo
#23750%92%59-69
Jan 4Home
Iona logo
#24874%97%83-38
Jan 9Away
Sacred Heart logo
#28763%95%76-72
Jan 11Away
Rider logo
#35788%99%71-49
Jan 17Home
Fairfield logo
#25776%97%82-67
Jan 19Home
Merrimack College logo
#17154%93%55-68
Jan 22Away
Siena logo
#18333%85%50-69
Jan 24Home
Quinnipiac logo
#21466%96%71-64
Jan 30Away
Canisius logo
#34282%98%88-86
Feb 1Away
Niagara logo
#33579%98%58-46
Feb 5Home
Rider logo
#35795%100%81-52
Feb 7Away
Fairfield logo
#25754%93%60-63
Feb 12Away
Merrimack College logo
#17131%83%56-81
Feb 15Home
Siena logo
#18357%94%63-67
Feb 20Away
Manhattan logo
#32977%97%84-70
Feb 22Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28782%98%65-63
Mar 1Home
Saint Peter's logo
#23773%97%56-63
Mar 7Neutral
Quinnipiac logo
#21454%94%77-75
Mar 8Neutral
Merrimack College logo
#17142%90%57-58

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%XavierGeorgia TechMerrimack CollegeSienaQuinnipiacMerrimack CollegeHarvardSaint Peter'sFairfieldMerrimack CollegeQuinnipiacSienaDartmouthSacred HeartDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games15-1, 1 left
Record:
18-12
#50 Fcst:
28.0-2.0
Act Win %:
60%
#50 Fcst %:
93%
TWV:
-10.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Marist logo
051015Vassar Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Rider Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 95%95%H1Army Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 91%91%H2Manhattan Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 90%90%H3Rider Location: Away 01/11 Win Probability: 88%88%A4Bryant Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 86%86%A5Sacred Heart Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 82%82%H6Canisius Location: Away 01/30 Win Probability: 82%82%A7Lehigh Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 81%81%H8Niagara Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 79%79%A9Mount St. Mary's Location: Home 12/05 Win Probability: 79%79%H10Manhattan Location: Away 02/20 Win Probability: 77%77%A11Fairfield Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 76%76%H12Iona Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 74%74%H13Stony Brook Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 71%71%H14Quinnipiac Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 66%66%H15Sacred Heart Location: Away 01/09 Win Probability: 63%63%A16Dartmouth Location: Away 11/09 Win Probability: 58%58%A17Quinnipiac Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 54%54%N1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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