Northwestern State logo

Northwestern State #295

Team Page

8-24
Overall
8-14
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southland logo

Team Schedule

Northwestern State logo

Away

2-15
Texas A&M logo
#41
Grand Canyon logo
#56
McNeese State logo
#65
California logo
#74
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
San Francisco logo
#120
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
North Texas logo
#137
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#181
New Orleans logo
#205
Lamar logo
#246
Nicholls logo
#247
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#293
Houston Christian logo
#298
East Texas A&M logo
#302
North Alabama logo
#341

Neutral

0-1
Nicholls logo
#247

Home

6-6
McNeese State logo
#65
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#181
New Orleans logo
#205
Lamar logo
#246
Nicholls logo
#247
Southern logo
#265
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#293
Houston Christian logo
#298
East Texas A&M logo
#302
Ecclesia logo
Non D1
Southern-New Orleans logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Northwestern State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Texas A&M logo
#411%32%68-98
Nov 6Away
North Texas logo
#1379%77%53-80
Nov 11Away
North Alabama logo
#34158%98%83-87
Nov 14Home
Ecclesia logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 18Away
San Francisco logo
#1207%73%64-84
Nov 21Away
Grand Canyon logo
#562%45%72-85
Nov 29Home
Southern logo
#26553%98%73-75
Dec 5Away
McNeese State logo
#653%50%54-92
Dec 7Away
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#29337%95%76-68
Dec 13Away
California logo
#743%52%70-79
Dec 20Home
Southern-New Orleans logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Home
Lamar logo
#24648%97%61-76
Dec 31Home
Stephen F. Austin logo
#9211%81%64-74
Jan 3Home
New Orleans logo
#20536%95%74-68
Jan 5Away
Nicholls logo
#24726%92%72-74
Jan 10Home
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#18130%94%79-78
Jan 12Home
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12117%88%64-63
Jan 17Away
Incarnate Word logo
#26730%94%74-76
Jan 19Away
Houston Christian logo
#29839%96%80-82
Jan 27Away
Stephen F. Austin logo
#924%61%67-69
Jan 31Away
New Orleans logo
#20517%88%64-75
Feb 2Home
Nicholls logo
#24748%97%58-61
Feb 4Home
East Texas A&M logo
#30264%98%68-74
Feb 7Away
East Texas A&M logo
#30240%96%48-52
Feb 9Away
Lamar logo
#24625%92%70-68
Feb 14Home
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#29361%98%69-66
Feb 16Home
McNeese State logo
#657%72%64-75
Feb 21Home
Houston Christian logo
#29863%98%71-53
Feb 23Home
Incarnate Word logo
#26753%98%54-49
Feb 28Away
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#18114%85%59-71
Mar 2Away
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#1217%73%62-74
Mar 8Neutral
Nicholls logo
#24736%96%47-61

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Texas A&MGrand CanyonMcNeese StateCaliforniaStephen F. AustinMcNeese StateSan FranciscoTexas-Rio Grande ValleyNorth TexasStephen F. AustinTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiTexas-Rio Grande ValleyNew OrleansLamarNichollsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiIncarnate WordDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-8, 2 left
Record:
8-22
#50 Fcst:
25.1-4.9
Act Win %:
27%
#50 Fcst %:
84%
TWV:
-17.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 17 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Northwestern State logo
0510Ecclesia Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H9Southern-New Orleans Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H10Houston Christian Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 63%63%H1Southeastern Louisiana Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 61%61%H2Incarnate Word Location: Home 02/23 Win Probability: 53%53%H3Southeastern Louisiana Location: Away 12/07 Win Probability: 37%37%A4New Orleans Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 36%36%H5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 30%30%H6Lamar Location: Away 02/09 Win Probability: 25%25%A7Texas-Rio Grande Valley Location: Home 01/12 Win Probability: 17%17%H88WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
8100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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