LIU logo

LIU #221

Team Page

23-11
Overall
13-3
Conference
95%
NCAA Bid
13.0
Avg Seed
Northeast logo

Team Schedule

LIU logo

Away

9-9
Illinois logo
#6
Georgia logo
#31
Notre Dame logo
#93
Mississippi State logo
#94
Fordham logo
#168
FIU logo
#186
Missouri State logo
#199
Lehigh logo
#282
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Wagner logo
#312
IU Indy logo
#323
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Air Force logo
#350
Saint Francis U logo
#354

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

13-1
Winthrop logo
#155
James Madison logo
#202
La Salle logo
#233
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Wagner logo
#312
Wagner logo
#312
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Chicago State logo
#345
Saint Francis U logo
#354

Schedule Chart

LIU logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Notre Dame logo
#9310%62%67-89
Nov 6Away
IU Indy logo
#32368%97%94-90
Nov 11Away
Air Force logo
#35080%98%76-72
Nov 15Home
James Madison logo
#20256%95%88-79
Nov 20Away
Fordham logo
#16825%83%53-69
Nov 22Away
Illinois logo
#61%11%58-98
Nov 24Away
Missouri State logo
#19932%87%75-61
Dec 2Home
Winthrop logo
#15543%92%92-94
Dec 6Away
Lehigh logo
#28255%95%87-82
Dec 13Home
La Salle logo
#23366%97%70-60
Dec 16Away
Mississippi State logo
#9410%63%83-87
Dec 20Away
FIU logo
#18629%85%79-86
Dec 29Away
Georgia logo
#313%28%74-89
Jan 2Home
Central Connecticut State logo
#30681%98%84-78
Jan 4Away
Chicago State logo
#34578%98%74-55
Jan 8Home
Mercyhurst logo
#28577%98%60-58
Jan 10Home
Saint Francis U logo
#35493%99%67-63
Jan 17Away
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33675%98%66-59
Jan 19Away
Le Moyne logo
#30061%96%77-83
Jan 23Away
Stonehill logo
#33373%98%
Jan 23Away
Stonehill logo
#33373%98%
Jan 23Away
Stonehill logo
#33373%98%
Jan 23Away
Stonehill logo
#33373%98%
Jan 29Home
Le Moyne logo
#30080%98%83-61
Jan 31Away
Central Connecticut State logo
#30662%96%80-59
Feb 5Home
New Haven logo
#33087%99%60-55
Feb 7Home
Stonehill logo
#33388%99%
Feb 7Home
Stonehill logo
#33388%99%
Feb 12Away
Wagner logo
#31263%96%67-57
Feb 14Away
New Haven logo
#33072%97%52-55
Feb 16Home
Wagner logo
#31282%99%83-65
Feb 19Away
Saint Francis U logo
#35482%99%91-89
Feb 21Away
Mercyhurst logo
#28556%95%83-91
Feb 26Home
Chicago State logo
#34591%99%73-56
Feb 28Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33689%99%74-60
Mar 4Home
Chicago State logo
#34591%99%79-75
Mar 7Home
Wagner logo
#31282%99%64-56
Mar 10Home
Mercyhurst logo
#28577%98%79-70

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%IllinoisGeorgiaNotre DameMississippi StateFordhamFIUMissouri StateWinthropLehighMercyhurstDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games20-2, 6 left
Record:
22-10
#50 Fcst:
28.5-3.5
Act Win %:
69%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-6.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 10 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

LIU logo
0510152025Stonehill Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 88%88%H23Stonehill Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 88%88%H24Stonehill Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 73%73%A25Stonehill Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 73%73%A26Stonehill Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 73%73%A27Stonehill Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 73%73%A28Saint Francis U Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 93%93%H1Chicago State Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 91%91%H2Chicago State Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 91%91%H3Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 89%89%H4New Haven Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 87%87%H5Saint Francis U Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 82%82%A6Wagner Location: Home 02/16 Win Probability: 82%82%H7Wagner Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 82%82%H8Central Connecticut State Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 81%81%H9Le Moyne Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 80%80%H10Air Force Location: Away 11/11 Win Probability: 80%80%A11Chicago State Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 78%78%A12Mercyhurst Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 77%77%H13Mercyhurst Location: Home 03/10 Win Probability: 77%77%H14Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 75%75%A15IU Indy Location: Away 11/06 Win Probability: 68%68%A16La Salle Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 66%66%H17Wagner Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 63%63%A18Central Connecticut State Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 62%62%A19James Madison Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 56%56%H20Lehigh Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 55%55%A21Missouri State Location: Away 11/24 Win Probability: 32%32%A2222WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
1314In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
2395%5%100%100%95%
22100%5%
Total91%4%95%5%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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