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Wagner #312

Team Page

11-19
Overall
7-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Northeast logo

Team Schedule

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Away

5-12
VCU logo
#46
Seton Hall logo
#53
Georgetown logo
#85
Maryland logo
#112
Fordham logo
#168
UMBC logo
#180
LIU logo
#221
LIU logo
#221
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Manhattan logo
#329
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Saint Francis U logo
#354

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

5-4
LIU logo
#221
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#352
Saint Francis U logo
#354
Bloomfield logo
Non D1
Manor College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

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DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
VCU logo
#461%36%74-103
Nov 7Away
Seton Hall logo
#532%42%61-68
Nov 11Away
Fordham logo
#16810%83%61-63
Nov 16Away
UMBC logo
#18012%85%70-71
Nov 22Away
Georgetown logo
#853%57%75-92
Nov 26Away
Manhattan logo
#32947%97%103-101
Dec 2Away
Maryland logo
#1125%70%63-89
Dec 11Home
Bloomfield logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 17Home
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#35280%99%78-64
Dec 22Home
Manor College logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 2Away
Chicago State logo
#34556%98%79-72
Jan 4Home
Stonehill logo
#33371%99%
Jan 4Home
Stonehill logo
#33371%99%
Jan 8Home
Saint Francis U logo
#35481%99%69-71
Jan 10Home
Mercyhurst logo
#28554%98%69-70
Jan 17Away
New Haven logo
#33047%97%74-80
Jan 19Away
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33651%98%61-68
Jan 23Away
Le Moyne logo
#30035%96%67-69
Jan 29Home
Central Connecticut State logo
#30660%98%55-62
Jan 31Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33673%99%75-72
Feb 5Home
Le Moyne logo
#30059%98%79-78
Feb 7Away
Central Connecticut State logo
#30636%96%67-84
Feb 12Home
LIU logo
#22137%96%57-67
Feb 14Away
Stonehill logo
#33349%98%
Feb 14Away
Stonehill logo
#33349%98%
Feb 14Away
Stonehill logo
#33349%98%
Feb 14Away
Stonehill logo
#33349%98%
Feb 16Away
LIU logo
#22118%90%65-83
Feb 19Away
Mercyhurst logo
#28531%95%83-80
Feb 21Away
Saint Francis U logo
#35462%99%65-56
Feb 26Home
New Haven logo
#33070%99%65-62
Feb 28Home
Chicago State logo
#34577%99%80-61
Mar 4Away
Central Connecticut State logo
#30636%96%70-60
Mar 7Away
LIU logo
#22118%90%56-64

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%VCUSeton HallGeorgetownMarylandFordhamUMBCLIULIUMercyhurstDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-8, 8 left
Record:
10-16
#50 Fcst:
23.1-2.9
Act Win %:
38%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-13.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 9 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

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051015Bloomfield Location: Home 12/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H11Manor College Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Stonehill Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 71%71%H13Stonehill Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 71%71%H14Stonehill Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 49%49%A15Stonehill Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 49%49%A16Stonehill Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 49%49%A17Stonehill Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 49%49%A18Maryland Eastern Shore Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 80%80%H1Chicago State Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 77%77%H2Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 73%73%H3New Haven Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 70%70%H4Saint Francis U Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 62%62%A5Le Moyne Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 59%59%H6Chicago State Location: Away 01/02 Win Probability: 56%56%A7Manhattan Location: Away 11/26 Win Probability: 47%47%A8Central Connecticut State Location: Away 03/04 Win Probability: 36%36%A9Mercyhurst Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 31%31%A1010WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
11100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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