CFP Projections

SeedTeamConfCategoryProj TWVProj RtgCFP Rtg %
1
Ohio State logo
Ohio State
Big Ten logo
At Large2.081.95100.0
2
Indiana logo
Indiana
Big Ten logo
Auto Bid1.601.8295.6
3
Oregon logo
Oregon
Big Ten logo
At Large1.481.7994.5
4
Georgia logo
Georgia
Southeastern logo
Auto Bid1.311.7192.7
5
Texas logo
Texas
Southeastern logo
At Large1.291.6992.4
6
Notre Dame logo
Notre Dame
Independent logo
At Large1.121.6791.0
7
Miami logo
Miami
Atlantic Coast logo
Auto Bid0.751.5287.3
8
Texas Tech logo
Texas Tech
Big 12 logo
Auto Bid0.561.4585.5
9
Ole Miss logo
Ole Miss
Southeastern logo
At Large0.351.3783.3
10
Texas A&M logo
Texas A&M
Southeastern logo
At Large0.211.3382.0
11
Alabama logo
Alabama
Southeastern logo
At Large0.181.3181.7
12
Boise State logo
Boise State
Pac-12 logo
Auto Bid-1.590.6564.0
Out
Oklahoma logo
Oklahoma
Southeastern logo
First 4 Out-0.011.2379.7
Out
USC logo
USC
Big Ten logo
First 4 Out-0.091.2279.0
Out
LSU logo
LSU
Southeastern logo
First 4 Out-0.241.1577.5
Out
Michigan logo
Michigan
Big Ten logo
First 4 Out-0.321.1276.7
Out
BYU logo
BYU
Big 12 logo
Next 4 Out-0.411.0975.8
Out
Penn State logo
Penn State
Big Ten logo
Next 4 Out-0.491.0675.0
Out
Washington logo
Washington
Big Ten logo
Next 4 Out-0.611.0273.8
Out
Utah logo
Utah
Big 12 logo
Next 4 Out-0.651.0073.3
CFP projections based on 1,000 season simulations.
Seed and rank are based on 70% TWV (performance) and 30% team rating — the weighting that most closely matches prior CFP rankings.
CFP Rtg % blends projected TWV and rating, scaled so the top team is 100% and the bottom is 0%.

Projected Bids by Conference

Projected CFP rank for all teams, based on 1,000 season simulations.