CFP Playoff Projections

Probabilities to reach each round of college football playoff based on 1,000 season simulations using composite of multiple college football rating models.

Darker colors indicate higher probabilities.

#	Team	First Round	Quarter- finals	Semi- finals	Champion- ship	Champion
1	Utah	58%	35%	13%	4%	1%
2	BYU	38%	19%	4%	1%	0%
3	Texas Tech	47%	24%	6%	1%
4	Houston	12%	5%	1%	0%
5	Baylor	3%	1%	0%	0%
6	Arizona	3%	1%	0%
7	Oklahoma State	1%
8	Arizona State
9	Cincinnati
10	Colorado
11	Iowa State
12	Kansas
13	Kansas State
14	TCU
15	UCF
16	West Virginia

#	Team	First Round	Quarter- finals	Semi- finals	Champion- ship	Champion
1	Utah	58%	35%	13%	4%	1%
2	BYU	38%	19%	4%	1%	0%
3	Texas Tech	47%	24%	6%	1%
4	Houston	12%	5%	1%	0%
5	Baylor	3%	1%	0%	0%
6	Arizona	3%	1%	0%
7	Oklahoma State	1%
8	Arizona State
9	Cincinnati
10	Colorado
11	Iowa State
12	Kansas
13	Kansas State
14	TCU
15	UCF
16	West Virginia

College Football Playoff Projections

College Football Playoff Projections