College Football Playoff Projections

SeedTeamConfCategoryProj TWVProj RtgCFP Rtg %
1
Ohio State logo
Ohio State
Big Ten logo
Auto Bid2.6976.19100.0
2
Oregon logo
Oregon
Big Ten logo
At Large1.5371.3690.2
3
Georgia logo
Georgia
Southeastern logo
Auto Bid1.4771.1789.8
4
Indiana logo
Indiana
Big Ten logo
At Large1.4371.1389.6
5
Notre Dame logo
Notre Dame
Independent logo
At Large1.0569.2886.2
6
Texas logo
Texas
Southeastern logo
At Large0.8868.3584.6
7
Texas Tech logo
Texas Tech
Big 12 logo
Auto Bid0.6167.4482.5
8
Miami logo
Miami
Atlantic Coast logo
Auto Bid0.5266.5481.4
9
Alabama logo
Alabama
Southeastern logo
At Large0.3465.9980.0
10
Penn State logo
Penn State
Big Ten logo
At Large-0.0164.4477.0
11
Ole Miss logo
Ole Miss
Southeastern logo
At Large-0.0564.0476.6
12
Boise State logo
Boise State
Pac-12 logo
Auto Bid-1.3557.9865.2
Out
Texas A&M logo
Texas A&M
Southeastern logo
First 4 Out-0.1063.8776.1
Out
Michigan logo
Michigan
Big Ten logo
First 4 Out-0.1563.5475.7
Out
USC logo
USC
Big Ten logo
First 4 Out-0.2662.9574.6
Out
Oklahoma logo
Oklahoma
Southeastern logo
First 4 Out-0.3262.7274.1
Out
Utah logo
Utah
Big 12 logo
Next 4 Out-0.4961.8972.7
Out
LSU logo
LSU
Southeastern logo
Next 4 Out-0.6061.5971.8
Out
Tennessee logo
Tennessee
Southeastern logo
Next 4 Out-0.6461.4471.5
Out
Washington logo
Washington
Big Ten logo
Next 4 Out-0.6661.4071.4
CFP projections based on 1,000 season simulations.
Seed and rank are based on 70% TWV (performance) and 30% team rating — the weighting that most closely matches prior CFP rankings.
CFP Rtg % blends projected TWV and rating, scaled so the top team is 100% and the bottom is 0%.

Projected Bids by Conference

Projected CFP rank for all teams, based on 1,000 season simulations.