College Football Conference Data

Conference bid distribution based on 1,000 season simulations using composite of multiple college football rating models.

Win probability distribution by conference based on probability each team in conference would win a game vs the average college football team in a neutral location.

Box shows 25th to 75th percentile teams in conference, line shows median, whiskers show top and bottom teams.

Conference	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	Avg
Southeastern			0%	7%	42%	43%	9%	0%	4.5
Big Ten		2%	30%	54%	14%	0%			2.8
Big 12		62%	37%	2%					1.4
Atlantic Coast		75%	24%	1%	0%				1.3
Independent	10%	90%							0.9
Pac-12	61%	39%							0.4
Sun Belt	63%	37%							0.4
Mountain West	84%	16%							0.2
American Athletic	91%	9%							0.1
Mid-American	95%	5%							0.1
Conference USA	96%	4%							0.0

Conference	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	Avg
Southeastern			0%	7%	42%	43%	9%	0%	4.5
Big Ten		2%	30%	54%	14%	0%			2.8
Big 12		62%	37%	2%					1.4
Atlantic Coast		75%	24%	1%	0%				1.3
Independent	10%	90%							0.9
Pac-12	61%	39%							0.4
Sun Belt	63%	37%							0.4
Mountain West	84%	16%							0.2
American Athletic	91%	9%							0.1
Mid-American	95%	5%							0.1
Conference USA	96%	4%							0.0

Conference CFP Bid Projections

Conference CFP Bid Projections