Basketball Conference Data

Conference bid distribution based on 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win probability distribution by conference based on probability each team in conference would win a game vs the 100th rated team in a neutral location.

Box shows 25th to 75th percentile teams in conference, line shows median, whiskers show top and bottom teams.

Team Win Probability vs #100 Team by Conference

Each team's probability of beating the 100th rated team at a neutral site, grouped by conference. Dashed line shows the conference median.

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Progression of projected NCAA tournament bids by conference over time from 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Non-Conference Opponent Analysis

No non-conference data available

Power conferences include ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, and SEC.

Exp Win % reflects the projected record of the #30 rated team vs the schedule of that conference or team.

TWV reflects # of wins above or below the projected wins for the #30 rated team vs that schedule. For conferences, this is the average for the conference's teams.

Conference Tournament Bid Projections

Conference	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg
Southeastern									0%	1%	8%	35%	40%	15%	1%	12.6
Big Ten								0%	4%	18%	38%	31%	9%	1%		11.3
Big 12							1%	8%	30%	38%	20%	3%	0%			9.8
Atlantic Coast				0%	3%	16%	34%	33%	12%	2%	0%					7.4
Big East			0%	6%	25%	45%	21%	3%								5.9
Pac-12	27%	55%	17%	1%												1.9
Atlantic 10	51%	45%	5%	0%												1.5
Mountain West	58%	38%	4%													1.5
American Athletic	96%	4%														1.0
West Coast	97%	3%	0%													1.0
Big South	98%	3%														1.0
Missouri Valley	98%	2%														1.0