Conference CFP Bid Projections
| Conference | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3% | 27% | 45% | 23% | 1% | 3.9 | ||
 | 7% | 44% | 41% | 8% | 1% | 3.5 | ||
 | 61% | 38% | 2% | 1.4 | ||||
 | 68% | 31% | 1% | 1.3 | ||||
 | 24% | 76% | 0.8 | |||||
 | 70% | 30% | 0% | 0.3 | ||||
 | 77% | 23% | 0% | 0.2 | ||||
 | 80% | 20% | 0.2 | |||||
 | 82% | 18% | 0.2 | |||||
 | 90% | 10% | 0.1 | |||||
 | 96% | 4% | 0.0 |
Conference bid distribution based on 1,000 season simulations using composite of multiple college football rating models.
Win probability distribution by conference based on probability each team in conference would win a game vs the average college football team in a neutral location.
Box shows 25th to 75th percentile teams in conference, line shows median, whiskers show top and bottom teams.