College Football Playoff Projections
| # | Team | First Round | Quarter- finals | Semi- finals | Champion- ship | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 68% | 49% | 21% | 8% | 3% |
| 2 |  | 26% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 0% |
| 3 |  | 22% | 10% | 2% | 0% | |
| 4 |  | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | |
| 5 |  | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | |
| 6 |  | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| 7 |  | 3% | 1% | 0% | ||
| 8 |  | 2% | 1% | |||
| 9 |  | 2% | 0% | |||
| 10 |  | 1% | 0% | |||
| 11 |  | 1% | 0% | |||
| 12 |  | 1% | 0% | |||
| 13 |  | 0% | ||||
| 14 |  | 0% | ||||
| 15 |  | 0% | ||||
| 16 |  |
Probabilities to reach each round of college football playoff based on 1,000 season simulations using composite of multiple college football rating models.
Darker colors indicate higher probabilities.