CFP Playoff Projections

Probabilities to reach each round of college football playoff based on 1,000 season simulations using composite of multiple college football rating models.

Darker colors indicate higher probabilities.

#	Team	First Round	Quarter- finals	Semi- finals	Champion- ship	Champion
1	Utah	59%	36%	12%	4%	1%
2	Texas Tech	48%	21%	5%	1%	0%
3	BYU	31%	13%	3%	0%
4	Houston	3%	1%	0%
5	Baylor	4%	1%	0%
6	Arizona	2%	0%
7	Oklahoma State	1%	0%
8	Kansas State	1%
9	UCF	0%
10	Arizona State
11	Cincinnati
12	Colorado
13	Iowa State
14	Kansas
15	TCU
16	West Virginia

#	Team	First Round	Quarter- finals	Semi- finals	Champion- ship	Champion
1	Utah	59%	36%	12%	4%	1%
2	Texas Tech	48%	21%	5%	1%	0%
3	BYU	31%	13%	3%	0%
4	Houston	3%	1%	0%
5	Baylor	4%	1%	0%
6	Arizona	2%	0%
7	Oklahoma State	1%	0%
8	Kansas State	1%
9	UCF	0%
10	Arizona State
11	Cincinnati
12	Colorado
13	Iowa State
14	Kansas
15	TCU
16	West Virginia

College Football Playoff Projections

College Football Playoff Projections