JThom Analytics Logo
St. Thomas (MN) logo

St. Thomas (MN) #108

Team Page

21-12
Overall
12-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Summit logo

Team Schedule

St. Thomas (MN) logo

Away

8-6
Saint Mary's logo
#24
North Dakota State logo
#115
Montana State logo
#133
Washington State logo
#136
South Dakota State logo
#215
Portland logo
#225
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
North Dakota logo
#277
South Dakota logo
#281
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Kansas City logo
#362

Neutral

2-2
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
South Dakota State logo
#215
North Dakota logo
#277

Home

11-1
North Dakota State logo
#115
Weber State logo
#209
Green Bay logo
#210
South Dakota State logo
#215
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
UC Riverside logo
#263
North Dakota logo
#277
South Dakota logo
#281
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Army logo
#338
Kansas City logo
#362
Lawrence logo
Non D1
North Central (MN) logo
Non D1
Saint John's (MN) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

St. Thomas (MN) logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Saint Mary's logo
#248%23%58-84
Nov 8Home
Army logo
#33897%99%83-76
Nov 10Away
Washington State logo
#13649%77%71-81
Nov 13Home
Green Bay logo
#21085%95%80-61
Nov 15Away
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23275%91%84-72
Nov 21Neutral
Northern Colorado logo
#13863%86%73-72
Nov 22Neutral
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18975%92%80-88
Nov 23Away
Portland logo
#22574%91%76-66
Nov 29Home
Lawrence logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 3Away
Montana State logo
#13348%76%74-82
Dec 7Home
Weber State logo
#20985%95%88-65
Dec 11Home
Saint John's (MN) logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Away
UNC Asheville logo
#23876%92%80-59
Dec 20Home
UC Riverside logo
#26392%97%92-78
Dec 28Home
North Central (MN) logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 4Home
Denver logo
#24590%97%92-88
Jan 7Home
South Dakota logo
#28193%98%99-86
Jan 10Away
Oral Roberts logo
#31188%96%82-71
Jan 15Away
North Dakota logo
#27783%94%91-80
Jan 17Away
North Dakota State logo
#11540%70%65-68
Jan 22Home
South Dakota State logo
#21586%96%74-69
Jan 24Away
South Dakota logo
#28184%95%90-78
Jan 29Home
North Dakota logo
#27793%98%80-81
Feb 1Home
Kansas City logo
#36299%100%99-64
Feb 4Away
South Dakota State logo
#21570%89%77-62
Feb 7Home
Oral Roberts logo
#31195%99%92-75
Feb 12Away
Omaha logo
#25378%93%94-98
Feb 14Away
Kansas City logo
#36297%99%104-64
Feb 21Away
Denver logo
#24577%92%80-82
Feb 26Home
North Dakota State logo
#11564%86%84-62
Feb 28Home
Omaha logo
#25391%97%68-53
Mar 5Neutral
South Dakota State logo
#21580%94%80-67
Mar 7Neutral
North Dakota logo
#27790%97%66-67

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Saint Mary'sNorth Dakota StateMontana StateWashington StateNorthern ColoradoNorth Dakota StateSouth Dakota StatePortlandSoutheast Missouri StateCal State FullertonUNC AshevilleDenverOmahaSouth Dakota StateNorth DakotaSouth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-2, 3 left
Record:
21-9
#50 Fcst:
27.0-3.0
Act Win %:
70%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-6.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 16 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

St. Thomas (MN) logo
05101520Lawrence Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Saint John's (MN) Location: Home 12/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H23North Central (MN) Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H24Kansas City Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Army Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 97%97%H2Kansas City Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 97%97%A3Oral Roberts Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 95%95%H4South Dakota Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 93%93%H5UC Riverside Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 92%92%H6Omaha Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 91%91%H7Denver Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 90%90%H8Oral Roberts Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 88%88%A9South Dakota State Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 86%86%H10Green Bay Location: Home 11/13 Win Probability: 85%85%H11Weber State Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 85%85%H12South Dakota Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 84%84%A13North Dakota Location: Away 01/15 Win Probability: 83%83%A14South Dakota State Location: Neutral 03/05 Win Probability: 80%80%N15UNC Asheville Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 76%76%A16Southeast Missouri State Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 75%75%A17Portland Location: Away 11/23 Win Probability: 74%74%A18South Dakota State Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 70%70%A19North Dakota State Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 64%64%H20Northern Colorado Location: Neutral 11/21 Win Probability: 63%63%N2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
21100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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