JThom Analytics Logo
Saint Mary's logo

Saint Mary's #24

Team Page

26-6
Overall
16-2
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
9.0
Avg Seed
West Coast logo

Team Schedule

Saint Mary's logo

Away

8-2
Gonzaga logo
#10
Santa Clara logo
#34
Davidson logo
#111
Pacific logo
#113
Seattle logo
#116
San Francisco logo
#120
Washington State logo
#136
Loyola Marymount logo
#162
Portland logo
#225
Pepperdine logo
#273

Neutral

2-3
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Santa Clara logo
#34
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Boise State logo
#57
Wichita State logo
#82

Home

16-0
Gonzaga logo
#10
Santa Clara logo
#34
Northern Iowa logo
#66
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
Seattle logo
#116
San Francisco logo
#120
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Washington State logo
#136
North Texas logo
#137
Arkansas State logo
#146
Oregon State logo
#170
Ohio logo
#223
Portland logo
#225
San Diego logo
#226
Pepperdine logo
#273
Chattanooga logo
#290
California Merced logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Saint Mary's logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10892%85%84-58
Nov 7Home
Chattanooga logo
#29099%98%87-66
Nov 11Home
Ohio logo
#22398%96%90-60
Nov 14Home
North Texas logo
#13795%90%80-49
Nov 19Home
Arkansas State logo
#14695%91%85-72
Nov 22Home
California Merced logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 26Neutral
Wichita State logo
#8281%66%70-65
Nov 27Neutral
Virginia Tech logo
#5573%56%77-66
Nov 28Neutral
Vanderbilt logo
#1237%22%71-96
Dec 7Away
Davidson logo
#11182%69%70-61
Dec 14Neutral
Boise State logo
#5774%57%67-68
Dec 19Home
Florida Atlantic logo
#12794%88%88-75
Dec 22Home
Northern Iowa logo
#6684%73%63-58
Dec 28Away
Loyola Marymount logo
#16290%81%78-73
Dec 30Away
Pepperdine logo
#27397%94%72-45
Jan 2Home
Portland logo
#22598%96%78-57
Jan 4Home
Seattle logo
#11693%86%93-76
Jan 10Home
Washington State logo
#13695%90%88-82
Jan 13Away
San Francisco logo
#12084%73%82-68
Jan 17Away
Santa Clara logo
#3446%30%54-62
Jan 21Home
Oregon State logo
#17096%93%81-51
Jan 24Away
Portland logo
#22595%91%75-69
Jan 31Away
Gonzaga logo
#1026%14%65-73
Feb 4Home
San Diego logo
#22698%96%87-60
Feb 7Home
San Francisco logo
#12094%88%79-54
Feb 11Home
Pepperdine logo
#27399%98%88-60
Feb 14Away
Pacific logo
#11383%70%72-61
Feb 18Away
Seattle logo
#11683%70%72-70
Feb 21Away
Washington State logo
#13687%77%83-67
Feb 25Home
Santa Clara logo
#3470%53%86-67
Feb 28Home
Gonzaga logo
#1048%31%70-59
Mar 9Neutral
Santa Clara logo
#3459%40%71-76

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%GonzagaVanderbiltSanta ClaraGonzagaSanta ClaraSanta ClaraVirginia TechBoise StateWichita StateDavidsonPacificSeattleNorthern IowaSan FranciscoWashington StateLoyola MarymountSt. Thomas (MN)SeattleSan FranciscoFlorida AtlanticWashington StateNorth TexasPortlandArkansas StateOregon StatePepperdineDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-0, 1 left
Record:
26-5
#50 Fcst:
22.6-8.4
Act Win %:
84%
#50 Fcst %:
73%
TWV:
+3.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Saint Mary's logo
0510152025California Merced Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H27Chattanooga Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Pepperdine Location: Home 02/11 Win Probability: 99%99%H2San Diego Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 98%98%H3Portland Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 98%98%H4Ohio Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 98%98%H5Pepperdine Location: Away 12/30 Win Probability: 97%97%A6Oregon State Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 96%96%H7Arkansas State Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 95%95%H8Portland Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 95%95%A9North Texas Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 95%95%H10Washington State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 95%95%H11Florida Atlantic Location: Home 12/19 Win Probability: 94%94%H12San Francisco Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 94%94%H13Seattle Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 93%93%H14St. Thomas (MN) Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 92%92%H15Loyola Marymount Location: Away 12/28 Win Probability: 90%90%A16Washington State Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 87%87%A17San Francisco Location: Away 01/13 Win Probability: 84%84%A18Northern Iowa Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 84%84%H19Seattle Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 83%83%A20Pacific Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 83%83%A21Davidson Location: Away 12/07 Win Probability: 82%82%A22Wichita State Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 81%81%N23Virginia Tech Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 73%73%N24Santa Clara Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 70%70%H25Gonzaga Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 48%48%H2626WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
9In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
26100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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