Saint Francis U logo

Saint Francis U #354

Team Page

5-26
Overall
4-12
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Northeast logo

Team Schedule

Saint Francis U logo

Away

2-13
Florida logo
#4
Oklahoma logo
#37
TCU logo
#45
Xavier logo
#97
Temple logo
#147
LIU logo
#221
Radford logo
#242
Lehigh logo
#282
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Wagner logo
#312
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345

Neutral

0-2
Belmont logo
#69
Troy logo
#134

Home

2-8
Robert Morris logo
#149
LIU logo
#221
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Wagner logo
#312
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Franciscan logo
Non D1
Penn State-Shenango logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Saint Francis U logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Oklahoma logo
#370%31%66-102
Nov 6Away
TCU logo
#450%35%63-104
Nov 11Home
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26927%98%66-74
Nov 18Away
Lehigh logo
#28214%95%62-79
Nov 24Neutral
Belmont logo
#691%63%57-94
Nov 26Neutral
Troy logo
#1344%85%64-74
Nov 29Home
Franciscan logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 1Away
Xavier logo
#972%63%74-96
Dec 3Home
Penn State-Shenango logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 7Away
Radford logo
#2429%92%56-89
Dec 14Away
Temple logo
#1473%80%67-95
Dec 17Away
Florida logo
#40%9%61-102
Dec 20Home
Robert Morris logo
#1499%91%70-79
Jan 2Home
Le Moyne logo
#30035%98%58-84
Jan 4Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33651%99%85-82
Jan 8Away
Wagner logo
#31219%96%71-69
Jan 10Away
LIU logo
#2217%90%63-67
Jan 17Home
Central Connecticut State logo
#30636%98%90-98
Jan 19Home
Stonehill logo
#33348%99%
Jan 19Home
Stonehill logo
#33348%99%
Jan 23Home
Chicago State logo
#34556%99%81-60
Jan 31Home
New Haven logo
#33047%99%69-81
Feb 5Away
Mercyhurst logo
#28514%95%89-98
Feb 7Away
Le Moyne logo
#30017%96%84-86
Feb 9Away
Chicago State logo
#34532%98%75-80
Feb 12Away
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33628%98%59-66
Feb 14Home
Mercyhurst logo
#28531%98%79-94
Feb 19Home
LIU logo
#22118%96%89-91
Feb 21Home
Wagner logo
#31238%99%56-65
Feb 24Away
New Haven logo
#33025%97%73-67
Feb 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33326%98%
Feb 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33326%98%
Feb 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33326%98%
Feb 26Away
Stonehill logo
#33326%98%
Feb 28Away
Central Connecticut State logo
#30618%96%64-69

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaOklahomaTCUBelmontXavierTempleTroyLIURobert MorrisRadfordLehighMercyhurstDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-11, 8 left
Record:
4-23
#50 Fcst:
22.9-4.1
Act Win %:
15%
#50 Fcst %:
85%
TWV:
-18.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 12 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Saint Francis U logo
0510Franciscan Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H5Penn State-Shenango Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H6Stonehill Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 48%48%H7Stonehill Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 48%48%H8Stonehill Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 26%26%A9Stonehill Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 26%26%A10Stonehill Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 26%26%A11Stonehill Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 26%26%A12Chicago State Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 56%56%H1Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 51%51%H2New Haven Location: Away 02/24 Win Probability: 25%25%A3Wagner Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 19%19%A44WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
5100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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