JThom Analytics Logo
North Carolina State logo

North Carolina State #36

Team Page

20-13
Overall
10-8
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
10.0
Avg Seed
Atlantic Coast logo

Team Schedule

North Carolina State logo

Away

6-4
Virginia logo
#14
Louisville logo
#19
Clemson logo
#32
Auburn logo
#39
SMU logo
#43
Florida State logo
#58
Wake Forest logo
#67
Notre Dame logo
#93
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Boston College logo
#143

Neutral

3-3
Virginia logo
#14
Texas logo
#42
Seton Hall logo
#53
Boise State logo
#57
Ole Miss logo
#61
Pittsburgh logo
#100

Home

11-6
Duke logo
#1
Virginia logo
#14
Kansas logo
#20
Miami logo
#28
North Carolina logo
#35
VCU logo
#46
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Stanford logo
#62
Wake Forest logo
#67
Syracuse logo
#83
Liberty logo
#119
UAB logo
#128
Georgia Tech logo
#158
UNC Asheville logo
#238
UNCG logo
#292
Texas Southern logo
#303
North Carolina Central logo
#348

Schedule Chart

North Carolina State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
North Carolina Central logo
#348100%99%114-66
Nov 7Home
UAB logo
#12891%89%94-70
Nov 12Home
UNCG logo
#29299%98%110-64
Nov 17Home
VCU logo
#4667%60%85-79
Nov 24Neutral
Seton Hall logo
#5363%55%74-85
Nov 25Neutral
Boise State logo
#5765%57%81-70
Nov 26Neutral
Texas logo
#4251%43%97-102
Dec 3Away
Auburn logo
#3939%31%73-83
Dec 6Home
UNC Asheville logo
#23898%97%75-63
Dec 10Home
Liberty logo
#11990%87%85-45
Dec 13Home
Kansas logo
#2048%40%76-77
Dec 17Home
Texas Southern logo
#30399%98%108-72
Dec 21Neutral
Ole Miss logo
#6167%60%76-62
Dec 31Home
Wake Forest logo
#6779%73%70-57
Jan 3Home
Virginia logo
#1443%35%61-76
Jan 6Away
Boston College logo
#14384%79%79-71
Jan 10Away
Florida State logo
#5853%45%113-69
Jan 17Home
Georgia Tech logo
#15894%92%74-78
Jan 20Away
Clemson logo
#3236%29%80-76
Jan 24Away
Pittsburgh logo
#10072%65%81-72
Jan 27Home
Syracuse logo
#8382%77%88-68
Jan 31Away
Wake Forest logo
#6758%50%96-78
Feb 3Away
SMU logo
#4340%33%84-83
Feb 7Home
Virginia Tech logo
#5574%67%82-73
Feb 9Away
Louisville logo
#1924%19%77-118
Feb 14Home
Miami logo
#2858%50%76-77
Feb 17Home
North Carolina logo
#3561%54%82-58
Feb 24Away
Virginia logo
#1422%17%61-90
Feb 28Away
Notre Dame logo
#9369%62%90-96
Mar 2Home
Duke logo
#121%16%64-93
Mar 7Home
Stanford logo
#6277%71%84-85
Mar 11Neutral
Pittsburgh logo
#10082%76%98-88
Mar 12Neutral
Virginia logo
#1431%24%74-81

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%DukeVirginiaLouisvilleVirginiaClemsonAuburnSMUVirginiaKansasTexasFlorida StateWake ForestMiamiNorth CarolinaSeton HallBoise StateOle MissVCUNotre DamePittsburghVirginia TechStanfordWake ForestPittsburghSyracuseBoston CollegeLibertyUABGeorgia TechDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 0 left
Record:
20-13
#50 Fcst:
19.5-13.5
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
59%
TWV:
+0.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 29 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

North Carolina State logo
05101520North Carolina Central Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Texas Southern Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 99%99%H2UNCG Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 99%99%H3UNC Asheville Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 98%98%H4UAB Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 91%91%H5Liberty Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 90%90%H6Boston College Location: Away 01/06 Win Probability: 84%84%A7Syracuse Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 82%82%H8Pittsburgh Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 82%82%N9Wake Forest Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 79%79%H10Virginia Tech Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 74%74%H11Pittsburgh Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 72%72%A12Ole Miss Location: Neutral 12/21 Win Probability: 67%67%N13VCU Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 67%67%H14Boise State Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 65%65%N15North Carolina Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 61%61%H16Wake Forest Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 58%58%A17Florida State Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 53%53%A18SMU Location: Away 02/03 Win Probability: 40%40%A19Clemson Location: Away 01/20 Win Probability: 36%36%A2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
10In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...