Merrimack College logo

Merrimack College #171

Team Page

23-11
Overall
17-3
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Metro Atlantic Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Merrimack College logo

Away

9-8
Florida logo
#4
Auburn logo
#39
Penn logo
#150
Siena logo
#183
Marist logo
#198
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Tarleton State logo
#224
Vermont logo
#236
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Iona logo
#248
Princeton logo
#250
Boston logo
#252
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Niagara logo
#335
Canisius logo
#342
Rider logo
#357

Neutral

3-3
Hofstra logo
#84
Siena logo
#183
Marist logo
#198
South Dakota State logo
#215
La Salle logo
#233
Sacred Heart logo
#287

Home

11-0
Siena logo
#183
Marist logo
#198
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Saint Peter's logo
#237
Iona logo
#248
Fairfield logo
#257
Mount St. Mary's logo
#269
Sacred Heart logo
#287
Manhattan logo
#329
Maine logo
#347
Rider logo
#357

Schedule Chart

Merrimack College logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
South Dakota State logo
#21562%94%66-75
Nov 6Away
Auburn logo
#395%31%57-95
Nov 11Away
Tarleton State logo
#22454%91%62-76
Nov 15Away
Boston logo
#25260%92%91-79
Nov 19Home
Maine logo
#34795%99%72-65
Nov 21Away
Florida logo
#41%9%45-80
Nov 28Away
Penn logo
#15033%80%65-77
Nov 29Neutral
Hofstra logo
#8420%69%58-78
Nov 30Neutral
La Salle logo
#23368%95%66-60
Dec 4Home
Rider logo
#35796%100%68-66
Dec 7Home
Fairfield logo
#25781%97%74-63
Dec 10Away
Princeton logo
#25060%92%59-56
Dec 14Away
Vermont logo
#23657%92%59-66
Dec 29Away
Sacred Heart logo
#28770%95%80-72
Jan 2Home
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26983%98%75-65
Jan 4Home
Manhattan logo
#32992%99%73-66
Jan 9Away
Siena logo
#18341%85%63-59
Jan 11Away
Saint Peter's logo
#23758%92%63-76
Jan 17Home
Quinnipiac logo
#21472%96%83-71
Jan 19Away
Marist logo
#19846%87%68-55
Jan 22Away
Iona logo
#24860%92%60-61
Jan 24Home
Saint Peter's logo
#23778%97%67-59
Feb 1Home
Sacred Heart logo
#28786%98%75-58
Feb 5Away
Mount St. Mary's logo
#26965%94%87-70
Feb 7Away
Rider logo
#35791%99%73-47
Feb 12Home
Marist logo
#19869%95%81-56
Feb 15Away
Quinnipiac logo
#21450%89%56-49
Feb 20Home
Siena logo
#18365%94%79-72
Feb 22Home
Iona logo
#24880%97%88-86
Feb 27Away
Canisius logo
#34286%98%62-67
Mar 1Away
Niagara logo
#33584%98%73-66
Mar 6Neutral
Sacred Heart logo
#28780%97%70-48
Mar 8Neutral
Marist logo
#19858%92%58-57
Mar 10Neutral
Siena logo
#18353%91%54-64

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaAuburnHofstraPennSienaMaristQuinnipiacTarleton StateSienaVermontSaint Peter'sIonaPrincetonMaristBostonSouth Dakota StateSienaMount St. Mary'sMaristSacred HeartDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-1, 0 left
Record:
23-11
#50 Fcst:
30.2-3.8
Act Win %:
68%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-7.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 20 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Merrimack College logo
05101520Rider Location: Home 12/04 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Maine Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 95%95%H2Manhattan Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 92%92%H3Rider Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 91%91%A4Sacred Heart Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 86%86%H5Niagara Location: Away 03/01 Win Probability: 84%84%A6Mount St. Mary's Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 83%83%H7Fairfield Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 81%81%H8Sacred Heart Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 80%80%N9Iona Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 80%80%H10Saint Peter's Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 78%78%H11Quinnipiac Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 72%72%H12Sacred Heart Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 70%70%A13Marist Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 69%69%H14La Salle Location: Neutral 11/30 Win Probability: 68%68%N15Mount St. Mary's Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 65%65%A16Siena Location: Home 02/20 Win Probability: 65%65%H17Boston Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 60%60%A18Princeton Location: Away 12/10 Win Probability: 60%60%A19Marist Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 58%58%N20Quinnipiac Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 50%50%A21Marist Location: Away 01/19 Win Probability: 46%46%A22Siena Location: Away 01/09 Win Probability: 41%41%A2323WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
23100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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