JThom Analytics Logo
McNeese State logo

McNeese State #65

Team Page

26-7
Overall
19-3
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
12.0
Avg Seed
Southland logo

Team Schedule

McNeese State logo

Away

9-5
Michigan logo
#2
Santa Clara logo
#34
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Rhode Island logo
#144
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#181
New Orleans logo
#205
Lamar logo
#246
Nicholls logo
#247
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#293
Northwestern State logo
#295
Houston Christian logo
#298
East Texas A&M logo
#302

Neutral

5-0
George Washington logo
#81
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Murray State logo
#129
Middle Tennessee logo
#169

Home

12-0
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#181
New Orleans logo
#205
Lamar logo
#246
Nicholls logo
#247
Incarnate Word logo
#267
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#293
Northwestern State logo
#295
Houston Christian logo
#298
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
East Texas A&M logo
#302
Champion Christian College logo
Non D1
College of Biblical Studies logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

McNeese State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Champion Christian College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Away
Santa Clara logo
#3421%30%67-79
Nov 10Home
College of Biblical Studies logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 14Home
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30197%98%88-62
Nov 23Neutral
George Washington logo
#8155%66%92-86
Nov 24Neutral
Murray State logo
#12976%84%73-60
Nov 25Neutral
Middle Tennessee logo
#16984%90%72-62
Dec 1Away
Incarnate Word logo
#26790%94%67-71
Dec 5Home
Northwestern State logo
#29597%98%92-54
Dec 9Away
Rhode Island logo
#14470%79%66-64
Dec 12Home
East Texas A&M logo
#30297%98%102-66
Dec 15Away
Houston Christian logo
#29893%96%78-68
Dec 29Away
Michigan logo
#24%7%71-112
Jan 2Home
Lamar logo
#24695%97%82-70
Jan 5Home
Stephen F. Austin logo
#9272%81%66-64
Jan 10Home
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#29397%98%73-61
Jan 12Home
Nicholls logo
#24795%97%94-68
Jan 17Away
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12163%73%76-79
Jan 19Away
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#18177%85%69-53
Jan 24Home
New Orleans logo
#20592%95%82-63
Jan 27Away
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#29393%95%76-66
Jan 31Away
Lamar logo
#24688%92%64-63
Feb 2Away
Stephen F. Austin logo
#9249%61%60-67
Feb 7Home
Incarnate Word logo
#26796%98%81-64
Feb 9Home
Houston Christian logo
#29897%98%73-69
Feb 14Away
East Texas A&M logo
#30293%96%97-54
Feb 16Away
Northwestern State logo
#29593%95%75-64
Feb 21Home
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#18190%94%70-54
Feb 23Home
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12182%88%74-65
Feb 28Away
New Orleans logo
#20582%88%66-63
Mar 2Away
Nicholls logo
#24788%92%75-65
Mar 10Neutral
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12174%82%84-80
Mar 11Neutral
Stephen F. Austin logo
#9262%72%76-59

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%MichiganSanta ClaraStephen F. AustinGeorge WashingtonStephen F. AustinTexas-Rio Grande ValleyRhode IslandStephen F. AustinTexas-Rio Grande ValleyMurray StateTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiTexas-Rio Grande ValleyNew OrleansMiddle TennesseeLamarNichollsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiIncarnate WordDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-0, 2 left
Record:
26-5
#50 Fcst:
26.2-4.8
Act Win %:
84%
#50 Fcst %:
84%
TWV:
-0.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 18 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

McNeese State logo
0510152025Champion Christian College Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H27College of Biblical Studies Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H28East Texas A&M Location: Home 12/12 Win Probability: 97%97%H1Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 97%97%H2Houston Christian Location: Home 02/09 Win Probability: 97%97%H3Northwestern State Location: Home 12/05 Win Probability: 97%97%H4Southeastern Louisiana Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 97%97%H5Incarnate Word Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 96%96%H6Nicholls Location: Home 01/12 Win Probability: 95%95%H7Lamar Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 95%95%H8East Texas A&M Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 93%93%A9Houston Christian Location: Away 12/15 Win Probability: 93%93%A10Northwestern State Location: Away 02/16 Win Probability: 93%93%A11Southeastern Louisiana Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 93%93%A12New Orleans Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 92%92%H13Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 90%90%H14Nicholls Location: Away 03/02 Win Probability: 88%88%A15Lamar Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 88%88%A16Middle Tennessee Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 84%84%N17New Orleans Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 82%82%A18Texas-Rio Grande Valley Location: Home 02/23 Win Probability: 82%82%H19Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Location: Away 01/19 Win Probability: 77%77%A20Murray State Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 76%76%N21Texas-Rio Grande Valley Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 74%74%N22Stephen F. Austin Location: Home 01/05 Win Probability: 72%72%H23Rhode Island Location: Away 12/09 Win Probability: 70%70%A24Stephen F. Austin Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 62%62%N25George Washington Location: Neutral 11/23 Win Probability: 55%55%N2626WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
12In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
26100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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