JThom Analytics Logo
Detroit logo

Detroit #213

Team Page

15-17
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Horizon League logo

Team Schedule

Detroit logo

Away

7-9
Michigan State logo
#11
Notre Dame logo
#93
DePaul logo
#99
UIC logo
#106
Toledo logo
#132
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
Oakland logo
#177
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324
Niagara logo
#335

Neutral

1-1
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149

Home

7-5
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
Oakland logo
#177
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
Milwaukee logo
#270
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324
Cleary logo
Non D1
Siena Heights logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Detroit logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
UIC logo
#10614%67%71-91
Nov 7Away
Notre Dame logo
#9311%62%70-102
Nov 11Home
Cleary logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Away
Toledo logo
#13220%76%83-90
Nov 18Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25572%97%62-72
Nov 21Away
Michigan State logo
#111%15%56-84
Nov 23Away
DePaul logo
#9912%65%75-95
Nov 29Away
Niagara logo
#33577%98%70-66
Dec 3Home
IU Indy logo
#32387%99%92-78
Dec 6Away
Cleveland State logo
#32471%97%71-59
Dec 14Away
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26052%93%77-81
Dec 20Home
Siena Heights logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Away
Youngstown State logo
#20837%88%73-68
Jan 2Home
Robert Morris logo
#14945%91%77-85
Jan 9Home
Wright State logo
#13541%90%82-84
Jan 11Home
Cleveland State logo
#32487%99%94-84
Jan 15Away
Northern Kentucky logo
#18230%85%71-96
Jan 17Away
IU Indy logo
#32371%97%80-77
Jan 21Home
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26074%97%76-83
Jan 24Home
Oakland logo
#17752%93%87-95
Jan 30Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18254%94%90-77
Feb 4Away
Milwaukee logo
#27055%94%76-63
Feb 7Away
Green Bay logo
#21037%88%63-76
Feb 12Away
Wright State logo
#13521%77%77-74
Feb 15Home
Youngstown State logo
#20860%95%76-70
Feb 20Home
Milwaukee logo
#27076%98%91-86
Feb 22Home
Green Bay logo
#21061%95%74-70
Feb 25Away
Robert Morris logo
#14924%80%62-73
Feb 28Away
Oakland logo
#17729%84%95-89
Mar 4Home
Milwaukee logo
#27076%98%84-63
Mar 9Neutral
Robert Morris logo
#14933%88%70-64
Mar 10Neutral
Wright State logo
#13529%85%63-66

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Michigan StateNotre DameDePaulUICToledoWright StateRobert MorrisOaklandNorthern KentuckyWright StateRobert MorrisYoungstown StateGreen BayWright StateRobert MorrisPurdue Fort WayneOaklandNorthern KentuckyMilwaukeeDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-2, 2 left
Record:
15-15
#50 Fcst:
25.8-4.2
Act Win %:
50%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-10.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Detroit logo
051015Cleary Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Siena Heights Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Cleveland State Location: Home 01/11 Win Probability: 87%87%H1IU Indy Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 87%87%H2Niagara Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 77%77%A3Milwaukee Location: Home 02/20 Win Probability: 76%76%H4Milwaukee Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 76%76%H5Cleveland State Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 71%71%A6IU Indy Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 71%71%A7Green Bay Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 61%61%H8Youngstown State Location: Home 02/15 Win Probability: 60%60%H9Milwaukee Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 55%55%A10Northern Kentucky Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 54%54%H11Youngstown State Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 37%37%A12Robert Morris Location: Neutral 03/09 Win Probability: 33%33%N13Oakland Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 29%29%A14Wright State Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 21%21%A1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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