Citadel logo

Citadel #344

Team Page

8-25
Overall
7-11
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southern logo

Team Schedule

Citadel logo

Away

3-12
South Carolina logo
#98
Davidson logo
#111
Boston College logo
#143
Richmond logo
#160
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Charleston logo
#174
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
West Georgia logo
#297
VMI logo
#359

Neutral

1-2
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Presbyterian logo
#271
Chattanooga logo
#290

Home

4-8
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Wofford logo
#254
Bellarmine logo
#284
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Houston Christian logo
#298
VMI logo
#359
Erskine logo
Non D1
North Greenville logo
Non D1
Southern Wesleyan logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Citadel logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Erskine logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 6Away
Boston College logo
#1434%79%47-76
Nov 10Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24427%97%86-96
Nov 14Away
West Georgia logo
#29721%96%92-100
Nov 19Home
North Greenville logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 24Home
Bellarmine logo
#28437%98%58-70
Nov 26Home
Houston Christian logo
#29841%98%65-72
Nov 30Neutral
Presbyterian logo
#27123%97%41-69
Dec 4Away
Davidson logo
#1113%69%63-79
Dec 9Home
Southern Wesleyan logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Away
South Carolina logo
#982%64%55-71
Dec 17Away
Charleston logo
#1746%84%78-82
Dec 20Away
Richmond logo
#1605%81%56-80
Dec 30Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16713%93%49-74
Jan 3Home
Wofford logo
#25429%97%86-95
Jan 7Away
Mercer logo
#1907%86%63-101
Jan 10Home
Western Carolina logo
#21621%96%79-77
Jan 15Away
UNCG logo
#29219%95%66-69
Jan 17Away
VMI logo
#35952%99%82-68
Jan 21Home
Furman logo
#17915%94%77-75
Jan 23Away
East Tennessee State logo
#1675%83%55-84
Jan 29Home
VMI logo
#35974%100%80-56
Jan 31Home
UNCG logo
#29239%98%71-66
Feb 5Away
Samford logo
#2119%89%64-78
Feb 7Away
Chattanooga logo
#29019%95%78-71
Feb 11Away
Western Carolina logo
#2169%89%49-87
Feb 14Home
Mercer logo
#19016%94%54-70
Feb 19Home
Samford logo
#21120%95%75-78
Feb 21Home
Chattanooga logo
#29039%98%72-93
Feb 25Away
Furman logo
#1796%85%51-72
Feb 28Away
Wofford logo
#25413%93%93-90
Mar 6Neutral
Chattanooga logo
#29027%97%88-85
Mar 7Neutral
East Tennessee State logo
#1678%89%76-83

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%South CarolinaDavidsonBoston CollegeRichmondEast Tennessee StateCharlestonFurmanMercerSamfordWestern CarolinaEast Tennessee StateWoffordEast Tennessee StateFurmanMercerDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-9, 3 left
Record:
8-22
#50 Fcst:
27.3-2.7
Act Win %:
27%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-19.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 15 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Citadel logo
0510Erskine Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H9North Greenville Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H10Southern Wesleyan Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 100%100%H11VMI Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 74%74%H1VMI Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 52%52%A2UNCG Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 39%39%H3Chattanooga Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 27%27%N4Western Carolina Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 21%21%H5Chattanooga Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 19%19%A6Furman Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 15%15%H7Wofford Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 13%13%A88WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
8100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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