Buffalo logo

Buffalo #217

Team Page

15-17
Overall
7-11
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mid-American logo

Team Schedule

Buffalo logo

Away

8-6
Akron logo
#63
Miami (OH) logo
#90
DePaul logo
#99
Toledo logo
#132
Bowling Green logo
#154
UMBC logo
#180
Massachusetts logo
#188
South Alabama logo
#195
Ohio logo
#223
East Carolina logo
#256
Ball State logo
#279
Western Michigan logo
#280
Canisius logo
#342
Northern Illinois logo
#343

Neutral

2-1
Akron logo
#63
Bucknell logo
#327
VMI logo
#359

Home

5-8
Akron logo
#63
Miami (OH) logo
#90
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Kent State logo
#152
Massachusetts logo
#188
Green Bay logo
#210
Southern Miss logo
#219
Ohio logo
#223
Vermont logo
#236
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Central Michigan logo
#262
Ball State logo
#279
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Penn State-Behrend logo
Non D1
RIT logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Buffalo logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Southern Miss logo
#21962%96%85-79
Nov 7Home
Green Bay logo
#21060%95%83-76
Nov 11Away
DePaul logo
#9912%65%66-53
Nov 15Home
RIT logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 18Home
Vermont logo
#23668%97%94-90
Nov 24Neutral
VMI logo
#35992%99%78-70
Nov 26Neutral
Bucknell logo
#32782%99%73-71
Nov 29Away
Canisius logo
#34278%98%71-53
Dec 6Home
St. Bonaventure logo
#14242%91%69-77
Dec 9Away
UMBC logo
#18029%85%83-79
Dec 14Away
East Carolina logo
#25648%93%70-73
Dec 20Away
Western Michigan logo
#28056%95%88-71
Dec 22Home
Penn State-Behrend logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Away
Northern Illinois logo
#34379%98%81-67
Jan 3Home
Ball State logo
#27977%98%85-72
Jan 10Away
Ohio logo
#22340%90%80-91
Jan 13Home
Kent State logo
#15244%91%81-87
Jan 17Away
Miami (OH) logo
#9010%59%102-105
Jan 20Home
Akron logo
#6315%71%63-82
Jan 23Home
Massachusetts logo
#18854%94%67-68
Jan 27Away
Bowling Green logo
#15423%80%89-78
Jan 31Home
Ohio logo
#22364%96%83-95
Feb 3Home
Miami (OH) logo
#9022%80%71-73
Feb 7Away
South Alabama logo
#19532%87%69-81
Feb 11Away
Ball State logo
#27956%95%63-53
Feb 17Home
Northern Illinois logo
#34391%99%70-72
Feb 21Away
Massachusetts logo
#18831%86%86-82
Feb 24Away
Akron logo
#636%48%85-99
Feb 28Home
Central Michigan logo
#26273%97%70-75
Mar 3Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25571%97%72-67
Mar 6Away
Toledo logo
#13219%76%78-99
Mar 12Neutral
Akron logo
#639%61%70-73

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%AkronMiami (OH)AkronDePaulAkronToledoMiami (OH)Bowling GreenUMBCMassachusettsSouth AlabamaOhioSt. BonaventureKent StateEast CarolinaMassachusettsBall StateWestern MichiganDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-3, 2 left
Record:
15-15
#50 Fcst:
26.1-3.9
Act Win %:
50%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-11.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 18 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Buffalo logo
051015RIT Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Penn State-Behrend Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H17VMI Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 92%92%N1Bucknell Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 82%82%N2Northern Illinois Location: Away 12/31 Win Probability: 79%79%A3Canisius Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 78%78%A4Ball State Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 77%77%H5Eastern Michigan Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 71%71%H6Vermont Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 68%68%H7Southern Miss Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 62%62%H8Green Bay Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 60%60%H9Western Michigan Location: Away 12/20 Win Probability: 56%56%A10Ball State Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 56%56%A11Massachusetts Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 31%31%A12UMBC Location: Away 12/09 Win Probability: 29%29%A13Bowling Green Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 23%23%A14DePaul Location: Away 11/11 Win Probability: 12%12%A1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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