Basketball Conference Data

Conference Tournament Bid Projections

Conference	1	2	3	7	8	9	12	Avg
Southeastern							100%	12.0
Big Ten						100%		9.0
Big 12					100%			8.0
Atlantic Coast				100%				7.0
Big East			100%					3.0
West Coast			100%					3.0
Atlantic 10		100%						2.0
Ivy League	100%							1.0
Metro Atlantic Athletic	100%							1.0
American Athletic	100%							1.0
Coastal Athletic Association	100%							1.0
America East	100%							1.0

Conference bid distribution based on 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Conference Net Rating Distribution

Rating distribution by conference showing the strength of teams within each conference.

Box shows 25th to 75th percentile teams in conference, line shows median, whiskers show top and bottom teams.

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Progression of projected NCAA tournament bids by conference over time from 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Non-Conference Opponent Analysis

Conference	Power Conf Opponents				Non-Power Conf Opponents				Total Non-Conference
	Record	Win %	Exp Win %	TWV	Record	Win %	Exp Win %	TWV	Record	Win %	Exp Win %	TWV ↓
Big 12	44-31	59%	44%	+0.67	118-9	93%	92%	+0.09	162-40	80%	74%	+0.77
Southeastern	35-44	44%	42%	+0.10	117-5	96%	93%	+0.24	152-49	76%	73%	+0.35
Big Ten	32-32	50%	50%	+0.02	123-8	94%	91%	+0.24	155-40	80%	77%	+0.26
Atlantic Coast	41-39	51%	44%	+0.32	137-16	90%	93%	-0.29	178-55	76%	76%	+0.04
Big East	22-28	44%	46%	-0.08	64-6	91%	93%	-0.09	86-34	72%	73%	-0.17
Non-D1	0-1	0%	52%	-0.52	0-1	0%	94%	-0.94	0-2	0%	73%	-1.46
Mountain West	5-16	24%	49%	-0.44	70-27	72%	86%	-1.13	75-43	64%	79%	-1.56
Atlantic 10	5-17	23%	45%	-0.35	102-42	71%	89%	-1.83	107-59	65%	83%	-2.18
Western Athletic	0-15	0%	39%	-0.84	38-19	67%	85%	-1.53	38-34	53%	76%	-2.37
West Coast	16-16	50%	54%	-0.09	68-41	62%	88%	-2.30	84-57	60%	80%	-2.39
Missouri Valley	1-9	10%	46%	-0.33	60-37	62%	88%	-2.27	61-46	57%	84%	-2.60
Conference USA	0-13	0%	33%	-0.36	45-39	54%	87%	-2.32	45-52	46%	80%	-2.68
Southland	1-26	4%	38%	-0.77	25-34	42%	84%	-2.03	26-60	30%	69%	-2.79
American Athletic	3-23	12%	49%	-0.75	75-47	62%	86%	-2.30	78-70	53%	79%	-3.04
Horizon League	1-24	4%	37%	-0.75	33-37	47%	86%	-2.48	34-61	36%	73%	-3.22
Big West	1-15	6%	45%	-0.57	41-42	49%	85%	-2.68	42-57	42%	78%	-3.25
Coastal Athletic Association	2-21	9%	47%	-0.68	72-48	60%	90%	-2.78	74-69	52%	83%	-3.46
Metro Atlantic Athletic	1-25	4%	42%	-0.75	52-45	54%	90%	-2.73	53-70	43%	80%	-3.49
Mid-American	5-13	28%	37%	-0.13	67-57	54%	90%	-3.43	72-70	51%	83%	-3.55
Ohio Valley	0-20	0%	33%	-0.59	24-44	35%	88%	-3.28	24-64	27%	76%	-3.87
Ivy League	0-13	0%	39%	-0.63	49-36	58%	90%	-3.47	49-49	50%	83%	-4.10
Big Sky	1-19	5%	43%	-0.76	34-46	43%	84%	-3.36	35-65	35%	76%	-4.12
Sun Belt	0-20	0%	45%	-0.65	73-67	52%	88%	-3.57	73-87	46%	83%	-4.22
Atlantic Sun	0-35	0%	32%	-0.93	37-54	41%	87%	-3.49	37-89	29%	71%	-4.42
Southern	0-17	0%	38%	-0.64	37-49	43%	88%	-3.90	37-66	36%	80%	-4.54
Big South	0-20	0%	40%	-0.88	41-46	47%	92%	-4.30	41-66	38%	82%	-5.18
Summit	0-19	0%	39%	-0.83	35-51	41%	87%	-4.38	35-70	33%	78%	-5.22
Southwestern Athletic	0-55	0%	36%	-1.82	17-49	26%	85%	-3.57	17-104	14%	63%	-5.38
Northeast	2-33	6%	48%	-1.64	20-41	33%	89%	-3.78	22-74	23%	74%	-5.42
Patriot League	0-24	0%	41%	-0.99	34-54	39%	90%	-4.51	34-78	30%	79%	-5.50
America East	0-19	0%	45%	-0.95	21-68	24%	87%	-6.32	21-87	19%	80%	-7.27
Mid-Eastern	0-30	0%	42%	-1.58	15-60	20%	89%	-6.46	15-90	14%	76%	-8.04

Power conferences include ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, and SEC.

Exp Win % reflects the projected record of the #30 rated team vs the schedule of that conference or team.

TWV reflects # of wins above or below the projected wins for the #30 rated team vs that schedule. For conferences, this is the average for the conference's teams.