Basketball Conference Data

Conference bid distribution based on 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win probability distribution by conference based on probability each team in conference would win a game vs the 100th rated team in a neutral location.

Box shows 25th to 75th percentile teams in conference, line shows median, whiskers show top and bottom teams.

Team Win Probability vs #100 Team by Conference

Each team's probability of beating the 100th rated team at a neutral site, grouped by conference. Dashed line shows the conference median.

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Progression of projected NCAA tournament bids by conference over time from 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Non-Conference Opponent Analysis

Power conferences include ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, and SEC.

Exp Win % reflects the projected win % of the #50 rated team vs the schedule of that conference or team.

TWV 50 reflects # of wins above or below the projected wins for the #50 rated team vs that schedule. For conferences, this is the average for the conference's teams.

Conference Tournament Bid Projections

Conference	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg
SEC									0%	3%	16%	38%	32%	9%	1%	12.3
Big Ten								1%	8%	26%	37%	22%	5%	0%		10.9
Big 12							1%	7%	30%	39%	20%	4%				9.8
ACC				0%	2%	12%	29%	37%	17%	3%	0%					7.7
Big East		0%	1%	12%	42%	37%	8%	1%	0%							5.4
Pac-12	13%	49%	34%	5%	0%											2.3
Atlantic 10	41%	50%	9%	0%												1.7
Mountain West	47%	48%	5%													1.6
WCC	86%	14%														1.1
American	93%	7%														1.1
Big West	96%	4%														1.0
Big South	97%	4%														1.0